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Maple Leafs at Islanders
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
New York Islanders
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-1. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Cizikas's goal at 13:40 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 35, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Garret Sparks stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.8 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey Cizikas (1 G), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Robin Lehner (34 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Lehner34 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11301408135
NYINYI110315212637

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    Z. Hyman(14)
    M. Marner (53), R. Hainsey (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:33
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(15)
    J. Bailey (34), M. Barzal (35)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:16

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(22)
    B. Nelson (23), J. Eberle (16)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:49
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(18)SHG
    C. Clutterbuck (11)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    13:40
  3. NYI
    V. Filppula(13)
    A. Ladd (6), L. Komarov (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:00

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy(2)
    C. Clutterbuck (12), M. Martin (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    0:33
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(20)
    J. Eberle (17), R. Pulock (24)
    wristxG 0.15
    1-6
    8:41

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:54TORAuston Matthews · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Robin Lehner2 min
  • 17:54NYIValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min

2nd

  • 11:48NYILeo Komarov · Holdingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTOR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Casey Cizikas, 2nd 13:40 — NYI 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.21B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.15C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.15R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.13C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.11V. Filppula · Goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.09L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.06S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI6 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYI
4.01 G
All situations
6 G3.2
3.11 G
Even strength
5 G3.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR60%40%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.79 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
39
7
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-120.13330—23:22
34A. MatthewsC000-340.431123520:59
2R. HainseyD011000.00100—20:27
16M. MarnerR011050.46000—18:18
52M. MarincinD000-330.18200—18:14
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.00100—18:13
3J. HollD000-200.00110—17:56
8J. MuzzinD000-200.00310—17:50
91J. TavaresC000050.861005417:00
24K. KapanenR000-300.00000—15:51
18A. JohnssonL000-210.13210—15:33
11Z. HymanL101020.28100—15:08
29W. NylanderR000-250.951002914:59
63T. EnnisR000-220.09100—13:58
28C. BrownR000-110.12100—13:53
12P. MarleauC000-220.222006713:47
42T. MooreL000-120.09000—12:22
33F. GauthierC000010.031006710:10
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40G. Sparks(L)37316.8383.20-2.8060:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).