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Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 36, PHI 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 1.6 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Oskar Lindblom (1 G), 2. Brian Elliott (34 saves, .944), 3. Ryan Hartman.

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    B. Elliott34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    R. Hartman

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF16116014236
PHIPHI219111215545

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Lindblom(12)
    T. Konecny (20), N. Patrick (13)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:48
  2. PHI
    J. Voracek(17)
    C. Giroux (46), P. Myers (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:52
  3. BUF
    J. Eichel(22)PPG
    J. Skinner (21), R. Dahlin (29)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:08

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(17)
    R. Hagg (11), R. Gudas (12)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:13
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(9)
    E. Rodrigues (15), C. Sheary (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:53

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(6)
    S. Couturier (34), I. Provorov (16)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    0:46
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(19)EN
    M. Raffl (9)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:05

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·PHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:36BUFJohan Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 4:27PHIRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 4:27BUFZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 4:27BUFZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 11:39PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 13:43PHIMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 19:10PHINolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Carter Hutton2 min
  • 19:10BUFRasmus Ristolainen · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

2nd

  • 1:12PHIserved by T. Konecny · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:39BUFJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:39PHIRyan Hartman · Embellishmentdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 2nd 15:13 — PHI 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.49O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.20C. Knight · On goal · xG 0.15M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.13T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.12R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11C. Knight · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.07J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Knight · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.03N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Knight · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
1.82 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF39%61%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
36
Shots on goal
45
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011-240.21210—24:33
4Z. BogosianD000030.03114—22:27
9J. EichelC101-160.210204722:16
55R. RistolainenD000-310.01222—21:09
23S. ReinhartC000-100.001105019:44
62B. MontourD000-130.10320—18:11
71E. RodriguesC011-230.110002017:55
19J. McCabeD000020.06212—17:46
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.08210016:04
53J. SkinnerL011040.390003315:52
21K. OkposoR000-110.04100—15:01
37C. MittelstadtC101-230.320002514:07
6M. ScandellaD000-200.00230—13:59
22J. LarssonL000-100.101025013:38
43C. ShearyL011-230.15000—13:13
29J. PominvilleR000-120.02000—09:56
20S. WilsonC000000.0031010008:38
17V. SobotkaC000-100.000103307:40
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)44404.9092.39-1.6159:51

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).