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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Laine's goal at 19:29 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 29, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (2 G), 2. Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (1 G), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Laine2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Bellemare1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG21029210629
VGKVGK11119112332

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Little (24), K. Connor (23)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:56
  2. WPG
    B. Little (25), S. Niku (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    1:28
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    15:43

2nd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch (27), P. Stastny (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:09
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(26)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    19:29
  3. WPG
    B. Chiarot (10), T. Myers (15)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    19:56

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    0:08
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(27)PPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    6:31
  3. WPG
    A. Copp(7)EN
    wristxG 0.39win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:34

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:56WPGTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 10:08WPGMathieu Perreault · Interferencedrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

  • 5:44VGKMax Pacioretty · Elbowingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 9:03WPGBen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 18:51VGKReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

3rd

  • 5:24VGKMax Pacioretty · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 5:46VGKBrayden McNabb · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Patrik Laine, 2nd 19:29 — WPG 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.17M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.17J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.17B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.16W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.15P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.13C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.13P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
3.25 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG53%47%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
35
18
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD033020.20210—24:19
44J. MorrisseyD000-120.02120—21:47
57T. MyersD011000.02022—19:54
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.061002919:48
26B. WheelerR022-120.07020—18:56
7B. ChiarotD011+210.02132—18:25
5D. KulikovD000000.00210—18:17
29P. LaineL202-240.77110—17:58
13B. TanevL000+240.35230—17:15
81K. ConnorL112+240.33010—16:11
9A. CoppC101+240.70100015:57
17A. LowryC112+220.196006315:45
18B. LittleC022+110.031005814:17
27N. EhlersL101+120.41100—14:07
83S. NikuD011+100.00020—14:03
85M. PerreaultC000-100.00002010:05
82M. AppletonC000-100.00400008:49
28J. RoslovicC000-100.00100008:07
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)32293.9062.59-0.4160:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).