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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 5:45 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 70%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.3, WPG 3.3; shots on goal were VGK 44, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Laurent Brossoit stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (43 saves, .977), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Pirri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit43 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. Pirri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01002618144
WPGWPG0927211427

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(17)SHG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    5:45
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:23

3rd period

  1. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:03
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(18)EN
    wristxG 0.96win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:47
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.61
    1-4
    19:54

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·WPG 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:36WPGMathieu Perreault · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Pirri2 min
  • 10:54VGKOscar Lindberg · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 19:55WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Pirri2 min

2nd

  • 3:53WPGJoe Morrow · Roughingdrawn by Oscar Lindberg2 min
  • 7:48WPGJoe Morrow · Interferencedrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 17:20WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Pirri2 min
  • 18:30WPGJacob Trouba · High stickingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

3rd

  • 14:42VGKJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 5:45 — WPG 51% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.96M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.61K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.19P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.18K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.13S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.12J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06B. Little · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
3.31 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK75%25%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
44
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/6
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
30
7
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000-110.04110—21:41
26P. StastnyC011-310.140005521:17
67M. PaciorettyL000-480.71200—19:43
81J. MarchessaultR000-250.410125019:27
71W. KarlssonC000-200.00110019:21
89A. TuchR000-350.59210—19:11
73B. PirriC101-270.690005018:11
27S. TheodoreD000-150.11100—17:53
22N. HoldenD000000.00000—17:30
15J. MerrillD000010.02500—16:56
21C. EakinC000030.150106416:36
5D. EngellandD000000.00100—15:38
3B. McNabbD011+100.00110—14:59
24O. LindbergL000020.07212—14:39
40R. CarpenterC000020.02100011:27
41P. BellemareL000020.050003011:12
75R. ReavesR000010.22200—11:08
92T. NosekL000010.13000—11:01
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)25232.9201.77-0.2358:10

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).