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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 14:24 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 20, CBJ 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 3 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (39 saves, .975), 3. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy39 saves, .975
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL261826520
CBJCBJ02009111140

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:18
  2. TBL
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:24

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(33)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    19:31

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(34)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    0:12
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    0:46
  3. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.15
    5-1
    18:15

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:02CBJJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 17:48TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 12:19TBLCedric Paquette · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 18:19CBJJosh Anderson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
  • 19:27CBJserved by E. Robinson · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:30CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 7:30TBLMathieu Joseph · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 13:09TBLNikita Kucherov · High sticking double minordrawn by Seth Jones4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 14:24 — TBL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.28O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.16L. Sedlak · Goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.11E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.11E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ1 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
1.65 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL36%64%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
20
Shots on goal
40
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD011+100.02120—24:51
5D. GirardiD000-130.10310—23:54
81E. CernakD000+100.00820—22:10
98M. SergachevD022+110.01000—18:34
21B. PointC213+330.640103317:59
55B. CoburnD011+200.00000—17:55
86N. KucherovR235+350.36004—17:30
71A. CirelliC000000.002003316:14
37Y. GourdeC011+320.050106716:02
13C. PaquetteC000-100.002126915:45
91S. StamkosC101020.210005514:47
17A. KillornL000000.00022—14:32
18O. PalatL000000.00000—13:15
7M. JosephR000-110.04202—13:04
73A. ErneL000-110.0421010012:15
10J. MillerC000010.131001711:07
9T. JohnsonC000010.010005011:05
77V. HedmanD000000.00000—08:45
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)40391.9752.31+1.3160:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).