Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 8-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 19:15 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 31 (.742), 5.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 2. Yanni Gourde (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-11:00
0-211:17
0-318:37
2nd period
1-38:14
2-315:51
2-419:15
3rd period
2-51:40
2-67:12
2-713:02
2-819:59
Penalties
1st
- 3:06
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 9:14
Brayden Point · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
- 17:03
Lukas Sedlak · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
2nd
- 1:10
Victor Hedman · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
- 1:10
Victor Hedman · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
- 11:15
Victor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
- 20:00
Zach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
3rd
- 3:55
Nikita Kucherov · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
- 6:58
Cam Atkinson · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
- 9:22
Artemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
- 17:56
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
- 17:56
Yanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 17:56
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
- 19:24
David Savard · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 19:15 — 75% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 8 G2.8
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.0
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 4 G1.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.76
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 4/7
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 20
- Hits
- 22
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 10
- 6
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
