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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV FS-O, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 8-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 19:15 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 32, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 31 (.742), 5.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 2. Yanni Gourde (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Miller1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0921607232
TBLTBL31215414831

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:00
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:17
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    18:37

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    8:14
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    15:51
  3. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    19:15

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    1:40
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    7:12
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.04
    2-7
    13:02
  4. TBL
    J. Miller(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.14
    2-8
    19:59

Penalties

CBJ 16 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:06CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 9:14TBLBrayden Point · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 17:03CBJLukas Sedlak · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 1:10TBLVictor Hedman · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 1:10TBLVictor Hedman · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 11:15TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 20:00CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

3rd

  • 3:55TBLNikita Kucherov · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 6:58CBJCam Atkinson · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 9:22CBJArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:56CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 17:56TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 17:56CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 19:24CBJDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 19:15 — TBL 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Paquette · Goal · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.15J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.14V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.11C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.09T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.08A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.07A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · Goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL8 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
2.52 G
All situations
8 G2.8
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G1.0
1.20 G
Power play
4 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
4/7
16
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-120.08122—26:43
58D. SavardD000-100.01422—25:10
27R. MurrayD011-110.10030—23:05
38B. JennerC000+120.221105020:04
9A. PanarinL000-150.38102—19:43
71N. FolignoL000-210.100003818:33
20R. NashC000010.003105317:57
65M. NutivaaraD000-100.00100—17:11
13C. AtkinsonR000-130.20012—16:22
10A. WennbergC011-130.130107316:06
91A. DuclairL000-350.43000—16:04
18P. DuboisC000-210.012164013:34
28O. BjorkstrandR101+130.3411010013:25
77J. AndersonR101+130.32100—11:49
4S. HarringtonD000000.00120—11:17
45L. SedlakC000020.190025008:19
22S. MilanoL000+100.00300—07:54
6A. ClendeningD000000.00120—07:30
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)31238.7422.78-5.2259:10

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).