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Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSWA, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the San Jose Sharks 5-1. The Sharks scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 4:14 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were WSH 29, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (2 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (25 saves, .962), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2152915529
SJSSJS11001006126

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:06
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    3:38
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:33

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:14
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    18:02

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(15)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.95
    5-1
    17:25

Penalties

WSH 2 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:27SJSJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

2nd

  • 6:05WSHMichal Kempny · Holdingdrawn by Lukas Radil2 min
  • 13:48SJSBrenden Dillon · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

3rd

  • 1:17SJSJoe Thornton · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 9:48SJSRadim Simek · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 2nd 4:14 — WSH 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSJS
2.44 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 1.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2M. NiskanenD000+220.05220—23:19
9D. OrlovD000+210.01220—22:52
74J. CarlsonD011+110.01140—22:41
77T. OshieR213+330.2621010021:22
19N. BackstromC022+310.030003920:07
92E. KuznetsovC011+120.210003619:43
6M. KempnyD000+110.01232—19:04
8A. OvechkinL112+140.24000—18:38
43T. WilsonR112+241.14220—18:03
13J. VranaL112+230.13020—15:38
20L. EllerC000-130.062207113:50
44B. OrpikD000010.00110—13:36
29C. DjoosD000010.04000—12:24
10B. ConnollyR000-110.16000—12:21
18C. StephensonC000000.000105011:33
65A. BurakovskyL000-100.00210—11:24
23D. JaskinR000010.03200—11:08
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.01200—10:17
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)26251.9621.50+0.5060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).