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San Jose Sharks at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Washington Capitals 7-6 in overtime, Tomas Hertl scoring at 1:48. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 1:48 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.3 to 3.7; shots on goal were SJS 43, WSH 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 1.7 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 43 (.837), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (3 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (3 G, 1 A), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl3 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS21521321312743
WSHWSH31421211102639

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier (26), B. Burns (45)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:12
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.39win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    10:41
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:11
  4. SJS
    T. Hertl(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    2-2
    14:27
  5. WSH
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    15:19

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier (27), B. Burns (46)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    3-3
    0:52
  2. WSH
    J. Vrana (12), T. Wilson (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-4
    2:53
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    5:41
  4. SJS
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    4-5
    14:39

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    4-6
    5:52
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(21)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    5-6
    10:02
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +44 pts
    6-6
    19:59

Overtime

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    7-6
    1:48

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:28SJSTim Heed · Hookingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min
  • 13:46WSHT.J. Oshie · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:46WSHMatt Niskanen · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 3:03WSHLars Eller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:45WSHDmitrij Jaskin · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 12:34SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 0:53SJSEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
  • 2:50WSHserved by A. Burakovsky · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:49WSHJohn Carlson · Holdingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSJS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, OT 1:48 — SJS 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.39L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.22T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.20C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.17T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.16N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.14T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.14T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.10D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.09B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 4.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWSH
3.77 G
All situations
6 G4.3
2.05 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
1.72 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS43%57%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 4.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWSH
43
Shots on goal
39
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD022+160.39152—29:34
8J. PavelskiC134+330.202305025:16
48T. HertlC314+270.883105925:02
9E. KaneL202070.76112—22:35
39L. CoutureC123+330.441106721:41
4B. DillonD000-120.01200—21:10
61J. BraunD000-110.03350—20:46
28T. MeierR022+430.4200010018:59
19J. ThorntonC011-200.000005017:01
27J. DonskoiR000-110.01200—16:08
47J. RyanD000000.02010—15:08
72T. HeedD000-130.08012—13:26
62K. LabancR000-130.19000—11:43
51R. SimekD000010.00020—10:11
68M. KarlssonC000-200.00000010:07
23B. GoodrowC000-210.031004309:56
52L. RadilC000-210.08010007:39
20M. SorensenL000-110.17010—06:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)39336.8464.33-1.6759:40

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).