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Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Giordano's goal at 7:29 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 34, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. David Rittich stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesse Puljujarvi (2 A), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Puljujarvi2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY014310210534
EDMEDM0611018224

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:44
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:29
  3. CGY
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    15:30
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    19:42

3rd period

  1. EDM
    M. Lucic(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:16
  2. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    14:15
  3. CGY
    S. Monahan(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    16:03

Penalties

CGY 18 PIM·EDM 20 PIM

1st

  • 13:17EDMZack Kassian · Boardingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 15:18CGYMark Giordano · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 17:00EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:11CGYMark Giordano · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor McDavid4 min
  • 5:31EDMMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 5:31CGYGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 6:23EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 8:56EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 8:56CGYMichael Frolik · Interferencedrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 12:41CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Cross checkingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 16:35EDMKris Russell · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:23CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 2:27CGYTJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 4:57EDMMilan Lucic · Cross checkingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:19CGYJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min
  • 8:21EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:50EDMBrandon Manning · Interferencedrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Giordano, 2nd 7:29 — CGY 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.13K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.09T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.04K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
3.35 G
All situations
2 G2.1
0.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.92 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY69%31%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/7
Power play
1/6
18
Penalty minutes
20
9
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
24
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC011+120.082106424:02
55N. HanifinD011+200.00100—23:55
5M. GiordanoD123-140.65036—23:34
13J. GaudreauL101+130.23002—22:17
24T. HamonicD000+220.03040—22:10
23S. MonahanC112070.680005720:16
7T. BrodieD000-110.00032—20:04
11M. BacklundC112+320.311025016:00
4R. AnderssonD000+100.00120—15:54
18J. NealL000+240.44002—15:19
19M. TkachukL011020.03100—14:42
67M. FrolikR011+210.00112—12:23
10D. RyanC000030.500006312:08
93S. BennettC000-120.220005011:02
77M. JankowskiL000-100.000004510:04
21G. HathawayR000000.00202—08:31
58O. KylingtonD101+110.10010—07:55
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00000—04:34
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)24222.9172.06+0.0659:21

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).