Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 1-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 12:18 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 24, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. David Rittich stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G), 3. David Rittich (29 saves, .967).
Three stars
- ★M. Koskinen24 saves, 1.000

- ★★C. McDavid1 G

- ★★★D. Rittich29 saves, .967

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goal1st period
0-112:18
Penalties
1st
- 8:36
James Neal · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Gravel2 min
- 15:21
Anthony Peluso · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
- 15:21
Milan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Peluso5 min
- 15:21
Anthony Peluso · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
2nd
- 6:23
Darnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
3rd
- 2:26
Kyle Brodziak · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 5:27
Sam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mikko Koskinen2 min
- 8:50
Dalton Prout · Illegal check to headdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
- 14:19
Elias Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 12:18 — 54% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.2
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 65%
- Faceoffs
- 35%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/5
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 28
- Hits
- 32
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 17
- Giveaways
- 22
- 11
- Takeaways
- 18
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
