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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV FS-F, SNO·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 14:59 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were TOR 21, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Garret Sparks stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Roberto Luongo stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 A), 2. Mike Hoffman (1 G), 3. Mike Matheson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    V. Trocheck1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Matheson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR140809121
FLAFLA2130917329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    R. Hainsey(4)
    M. Rielly (35), K. Kapanen (15)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:49
  2. FLA
    M. Hoffman(23)
    K. Yandle (31), N. Bjugstad (7)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:02
  3. FLA
    M. Matheson(3)
    V. Trocheck (12), J. Huberdeau (36)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:59

3rd period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(14)EN
    M. Pysyk (6)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:14

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:27TORKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 5:13FLAEvgenii Dadonov · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 15:38TORAndreas Johnsson · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

3rd

  • 2:15TORJake Gardiner · Cross checkingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 1st 14:59 — FLA 54% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.36K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.16F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA3 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
1.11 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR27%73%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.11 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
21
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
20
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011-110.08210—24:59
2R. HainseyD101040.06110—21:57
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.01430—21:28
91J. TavaresC000020.190004521:12
51J. GardinerD000-200.04112—21:00
16M. MarnerR000010.10000—20:27
11Z. HymanL000-100.093006720:25
23T. DermottD000-100.00100—17:42
34A. MatthewsC000-320.120008916:52
24K. KapanenR011+120.03202—16:32
12P. MarleauC000-120.1410010015:57
43N. KadriC000+150.173005014:54
18A. JohnssonL000-120.09102—13:06
92I. OzhiganovD000000.00020—12:44
29W. NylanderR000-300.001005012:15
28C. BrownR000000.01000—10:17
26P. LindholmC000+100.000003307:54
33F. GauthierC000000.001005005:51
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40G. Sparks(L)28262.9292.26+0.2658:28

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).