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Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV FS-F, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Florida Panthers 6-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 3:50 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 26, TOR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.4 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G, 2 A), 2. John Tavares (2 G), 3. Morgan Rielly (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA090819126
TORTOR1102838626

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(18)PPG
    M. Marner (36), M. Rielly (26)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    18:17

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(19)
    M. Rielly (27), K. Kapanen (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:50
  2. TOR
    N. Kadri(9)
    C. Brown (10), M. Rielly (28)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    11:14

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(22)PPG
    A. Matthews (13), N. Kadri (14)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    2:38
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(23)
    M. Marner (37), M. Marincin (1)
    snapxG 0.12
    0-5
    5:41
  3. FLA
    H. Borgstrom(1)PPG
    J. McCann (8), F. Vatrano (4)
    wristxG 0.08
    1-5
    10:28
  4. TOR
    M. Marner(10)PPG
    A. Matthews (14), M. Rielly (29)
    wristxG 0.06
    1-6
    15:14

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:20FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min

2nd

  • 12:33TORNikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 17:19TORMartin Marincin · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

3rd

  • 2:24FLAAlexander Petrovic · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 8:56TORAndreas Johnsson · Slashingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 14:44FLATroy Brouwer · Holdingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 3:50 — TOR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.18T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.06F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR6 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
2.41 G
All situations
6 G2.9
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
3 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA42%58%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
26
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
9
22
Blocked shots
13
24
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-130.09222—22:56
3K. YandleD000-210.11010—22:34
13M. PysykD000-100.03340—21:59
19M. MathesonD000-120.06010—20:28
16A. BarkovC000-120.320105919:23
68M. HoffmanC000-220.32000018:22
63E. DadonovL000040.27010—17:48
72F. VatranoR011040.43110—17:06
11J. HuberdeauL000-220.11010—16:52
52M. WeegarD000-100.02110—16:10
90J. McCannL011-120.123008015:10
95H. BorgstromC101010.082205515:09
22T. BrouwerR000000.273225014:57
7C. SceviourC000-130.09220014:02
91J. LammikkoC000-100.001001412:47
6A. PetrovicD000000.00422—12:09
8J. HawrylukR000000.00410—10:30
18M. HaleyL000-100.13400—09:57
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)22175.7732.56-2.4445:41
34J. Reimer431.7500.35-0.6514:19

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).