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St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Capitals scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 37, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Pheonix Copley stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (28 saves, .966), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Dunn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01431419437
WSHWSH1701309129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Orlov (11), T. Boyd (9)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    7:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:18
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:11
  3. STL
    V. Dunn (15), R. O'Reilly (27)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    8:00

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    10:24

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:14STLVince Dunn · Boardingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min

2nd

  • 5:22STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 15:00WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 15:00STLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 2:01WSHMatt Niskanen · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 3:07STLVladimir Tarasenko · Holdingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
  • 9:26WSHAlex Ovechkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 8:00 — STL 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.19E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.18J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.16C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.11D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.11A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.05B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
3.94 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.73 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL62%38%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
37
Shots on goal
29
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.00240—23:26
27A. PietrangeloD011+220.16210—23:06
55C. ParaykoD000+130.09130—22:23
6J. EdmundsonD000+100.00210—21:48
57D. PerronL101+170.66110—20:47
10B. SchennC000+150.552005220:40
17J. SchwartzL011+130.5600010020:28
90R. O'ReillyC022+130.620027420:09
91V. TarasenkoR112+220.28102—20:02
12Z. SanfordL000010.17000—18:33
70O. SundqvistC000040.270002016:51
41R. BortuzzoD000000.01210—14:37
29V. DunnD112+210.04012—12:36
7P. MaroonL000020.20602—10:51
49I. BarbashevL101+110.130207509:46
33J. KyrouR000020.0500010007:11
9S. BlaisL000+100.00300—04:43
71J. NolanC000+110.05010004:28
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)29281.9662.98+1.9859:59

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).