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Capitals at Blues
NHL

Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSWA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 16:33 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 25, STL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 2.1 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jaden Schwartz (1 A), 3. Robert Bortuzzo (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Bortuzzo1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11311002225
STLSTL19219214542

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(4)
    R. Bortuzzo (4), J. Schwartz (12)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:00
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(30)
    M. Kempny (9), J. Carlson (33)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:34

2nd period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(9)
    L. Eller (12), M. Kempny (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +7 pts
    2-1
    3:00
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(8)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (21), D. Perron (13)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:23
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(7)
    I. Barbashev (6), A. Pietrangelo (8)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:33

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(5)
    D. Perron (14), R. O'Reilly (22)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:44
  2. STL
    T. Bozak(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:08

Penalties

WSH 17 PIM·STL 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:46STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 6:49WSHBrooks Orpik · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Bozak4 min
  • 16:47STLAlex Pietrangelo · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 2:13WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
  • 2:13STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 5:29STLDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 8:48STLAlex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:48WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 10:37WSHMatt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 11:59WSHMichal Kempny · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 11:59STLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 13:19WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 2nd 16:33 — STL 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.21R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.19C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.15V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.11A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 2.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSTL
2.42 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH40%60%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
42
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/3
Power play
1/4
17
Penalty minutes
15
16
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+120.03010—23:24
9D. OrlovD000-200.00110—23:07
2M. NiskanenD000-200.00122—21:23
8A. OvechkinL101-230.12210—19:32
6M. KempnyD022+220.03212—19:17
19N. BackstromC000-100.060104217:30
77T. OshieR000010.28000—16:47
92E. KuznetsovC000-130.090023116:42
20L. EllerC011020.200002016:11
10B. ConnollyR101-120.35000—15:06
13J. VranaL000010.1920010014:22
44B. OrpikD000-210.01304—14:10
43T. WilsonR000-130.50037—13:50
22M. BoweyD000-100.04320—13:16
18C. StephensonC000010.120102512:39
65A. BurakovskyL000010.20000—11:36
23D. JaskinR000030.16200—11:01
26N. DowdC000000.000104010:21
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)42375.8812.91-2.0960:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).