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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NHLN-US, NESN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 19:45 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 29, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Michael Hutchinson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Sean Kuraly (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tuukka Rask (30 saves, .938), 3. Kasperi Kapanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    S. Kuraly1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Rask30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    K. Kapanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS19210010329
TORTOR01521106232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:21

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:37
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(17)PPG
    N. Kadri (17), K. Kapanen (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:30
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:47
  4. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:45

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:38TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 2:40TORAndreas Johnsson · Boardingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
  • 8:59BOSKevan Miller · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 16:10BOSPatrice Bergeron · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 19:45 — BOS 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.23M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.18P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.17P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.13A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02I. Ozhiganov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR2 G · 4.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
2.73 G
All situations
2 G4.0
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS30%70%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
28
20
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25B. CarloD000+120.03330—23:05
33Z. CharaD011020.02430—22:23
47T. KrugD000000.08100—21:25
63B. MarchandL000-160.62000—19:37
73C. McAvoyD000010.32220—18:28
37P. BergeronC000+110.211226218:21
88D. PastrnakR101+150.40100—18:05
43D. HeinenL000020.39010—16:54
86K. MillerD000+110.12132—16:06
52S. KuralyC123+320.090003315:54
14C. WagnerR011+210.076005015:37
48M. GrzelcykD000+210.00120—15:15
46D. KrejciC101010.070205714:59
55N. AcciariC011+100.0040010013:37
17R. DonatoC000020.22100013:07
74J. DeBruskL000000.00010—12:06
23J. Forsbacka KarlssonC000000.001101711:51
42D. BackesR000-120.05300—10:39
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)32302.9383.98+1.9860:00

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).