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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NESN, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 14:22 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 27% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.8 to 4.2; shots on goal were BOS 40, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Frederik Andersen stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (38 saves, .950), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G), 3. Mitch Marner (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Marner3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS010218012240
TORTOR1929113431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    snapxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:44

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    3:39
  2. TOR
    snapxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:06
  3. BOS
    T. Krug (10), B. Marchand (17)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:22
  4. TOR
    J. Leivo(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    18:38

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.91win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:25

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:55TORPar Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by John Moore2 min
  • 10:48TORserved by F. Gauthier · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:58BOSAnders Bjork · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 14:22 — BOS 27% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.91N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.30T. Dermott · Goal · xG 0.23J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.20T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.17M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · Goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.00A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 4.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
4.82 G
All situations
3 G4.2
3.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS70%30%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.70 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
40
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD022040.15100—24:57
75C. CliftonD000000.02110—24:36
27J. MooreD000-120.07280—22:24
48M. GrzelcykD000-140.16110—22:08
88D. PastrnakR202-140.49000—20:50
63B. MarchandL022031.0710010020:41
74J. DeBruskL000-170.64000—19:50
46D. KrejciC000-210.181104717:58
43D. HeinenL000-130.38320—17:46
42D. BackesR000-120.661003816:43
26C. CaveC000+120.241004416:18
79J. LauzonD000030.07030—13:43
20J. NordstromC000020.201002012:55
14C. WagnerR000020.502007512:27
23J. Forsbacka KarlssonC000-100.001002910:58
10A. BjorkL000-200.00002—09:20
55N. AcciariC000010.02300009:03
86K. MillerD000-100.00010—07:01
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)30273.9003.34+0.3458:17

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).