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Penguins at Ducks
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
Anaheim Ducks
4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 7-4. The Penguins came back from three goals down. The Ducks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 10:21 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 36, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (3 G), 2. Brandon Montour, 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. Montour
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT08314414736
ANAANA391907425

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    N. Ritchie(6)
    O. Kase (9), A. Henrique (16)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:27
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(10)
    A. Cogliano (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:41
  3. ANA
    D. Sprong(6)
    R. Rakell (16), R. Getzlaf (21)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    12:23

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(14)
    P. Kessel (31), K. Letang (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    0:59
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(19)
    B. Dumoulin (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:54
  3. PIT
    J. Guentzel(20)PPG
    P. Kessel (32), E. Malkin (33)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    11:24
  4. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(12)SHG
    A. Henrique (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    14:39

3rd period

  1. PIT
    T. Pearson(7)
    E. Malkin (34), D. Simon (12)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    4-4
    9:33
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel(18)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +33 pts
    5-4
    10:21
  3. PIT
    T. Pearson(8)
    E. Malkin (35), M. Pettersson (13)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +10 pts
    6-4
    16:35
  4. PIT
    J. Guentzel(21)EN
    S. Crosby (34)
    wristxG 0.41
    7-4
    19:02

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:55ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 8:26PITJake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 10:34ANAJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 14:06ANAAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

3rd

  • 11:55PITJamie Oleksiak · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPIT goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, 3rd 10:21 — PIT 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.18D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.18J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsANA
4.76 G
All situations
4 G2.0
3.65 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT82%18%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.18 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsANA
36
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011010.05320—26:09
8B. DumoulinD011010.01420—22:11
87S. CrosbyC011+100.081005322:05
59J. GuentzelC303071.34202021:23
17B. RustR000+150.65100—19:39
73J. JohnsonD000+100.00220—18:47
28M. PetterssonD011+230.18120—18:05
3O. MaattaD000+110.02320—17:32
81P. KesselR123040.46000—15:16
71E. MalkinC134+140.400005015:03
14T. PearsonL202+120.49000—14:37
12D. SimonC011+100.15110014:23
6J. OleksiakD000+100.09202—14:19
7M. CullenC000+120.040002913:11
19D. BrassardC000-110.092004612:46
15R. SheahanC000-110.11100012:02
10G. WilsonL000020.27110—09:30
38D. GrantC000+120.2520010009:02
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)25214.8401.99-2.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).