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Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN-US, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Kase's goal at 18:47 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.9, PIT 2.8; shots on goal were ANA 36, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Kase (1 G), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Gibson (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    O. Kase1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01131817436
PITPIT2809013230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(11)PPG
    K. Letang (19), P. Kessel (22)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    9:38
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:32

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.31win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:07
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:33
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.27win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:47

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:11

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:47ANAJosh Mahura · Slashingdrawn by Garrett Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 0:13PITZachary Aston-Reese · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min
  • 3:02PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 12:50ANACarter Rowney · Holdingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min

3rd

  • 4:11ANAOndrej Kase · Hookingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 5:54ANAJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Olli Maatta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalANA goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Kase, 2nd 18:47 — ANA 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.32Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.22J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02G. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPIT
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA45%55%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPIT
36
Shots on goal
30
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42J. MansonD011+210.01622—24:50
47H. LindholmD000030.09010—24:07
26B. MontourD000+130.13200—23:35
17R. KeslerC000040.342107618:07
15R. GetzlafC112+140.360204517:54
20P. AbergL011+120.07100—17:43
14A. HenriqueC112+120.350005717:38
32J. LarssonD000+100.00220—17:25
33J. SilfverbergR000010.13100—16:28
25O. KaseR101050.49022—15:21
11D. SprongR011040.33300—15:12
37N. RitchieL011020.31310—14:56
21J. DotchinD000000.00510—14:41
24C. RowneyC011+100.002025712:25
7A. CoglianoC000010.02000011:57
76J. MahuraD000000.00022—11:41
64K. SherwoodL101+120.20220—09:44
23B. GibbonsC000+120.02110009:25
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)30282.9332.81+0.8160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).