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Capitals at Stars
NHL

Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
Final/OTTV FS-SW+, NBCSWA+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Washington Capitals 2-1 in overtime, Tyler Seguin scoring at 3:37. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 3:37 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 37, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Anton Khudobin stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (36 saves, .973), 2. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 3. Dmitry Orlov.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH0511501403137
DALDAL115080214229

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(14)PPG
    R. Faksa (9), A. Radulov (22)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    13:20

2nd period

  1. WSH
    L. Eller(6)
    A. Burakovsky (4), B. Orpik (2)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:19

Overtime

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(15)
    A. Radulov (23), R. Hintz (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:37

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:28WSHMatt Niskanen · Hookingdrawn by Jason Spezza2 min
  • 12:46WSHAlex Ovechkin · Boardingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

2nd

  • 4:31DALRoman Polak · Interferencedrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 11:39DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 11:39WSHMichal Kempny · Embellishmentdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 16:09WSHLars Eller · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 9:34DALErik Condra · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 15:35DALBrett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, OT 3:37 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.27T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.19B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.17A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.15E. Condra · On goal · xG 0.13M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.11B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.11B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.11D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.10J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsDAL
3.91 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH75%25%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsDAL
37
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000010.07110—27:52
9D. OrlovD000030.27410—25:12
8A. OvechkinL000-160.83532—22:13
19N. BackstromC000-130.170203321:48
2M. NiskanenD000-120.04132—21:44
92E. KuznetsovC000030.391102520:03
77T. OshieR000070.6922010019:40
6M. KempnyD000+120.04122—19:19
43T. WilsonR000010.21400—17:27
20L. EllerC101+140.211024716:53
65A. BurakovskyL011+130.47000—14:00
10B. ConnollyR000+100.00310—13:55
34J. SiegenthalerD000000.00000—12:30
44B. OrpikD011+100.00220—12:15
13J. VranaL000000.19110—12:03
72T. BoydC000000.000002009:55
25D. Smith-PellyR000010.06100—09:15
18C. StephensonC000010.22000008:13
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(O)29272.9312.26+0.2663:37

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).