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Stars at Capitals
NHL

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/OTTV FS-SW, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Jason Dickinson scoring at 3:17. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Dickinson's goal at 3:17 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.6, WSH 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 37, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Braden Holtby stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (1 G), 2. Jason Spezza (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Dickinson1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Spezza1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL2111901017437
WSHWSH0112131701332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Spezza(3)
    G. Smith (1)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:51
  2. DAL
    T. Pitlick(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    11:01

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(3)
    A. Burakovsky (1), M. Kempny (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:38
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(6)
    J. Spezza (7), V. Nichushkin (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:36
  3. WSH
    B. Connolly(2)
    L. Eller (5), D. Jaskin (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:31

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(6)PPG
    T. Oshie (5), N. Backstrom (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    7:57

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Dickinson(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:17

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:46DALBlake Comeau · Slashingdrawn by Christian Djoos2 min

2nd

  • 3:11WSHBraden Holtby · High stickingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 6:44WSHT.J. Oshie · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Heatherington2 min
  • 18:41DALJason Dickinson · Interferencedrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

3rd

  • 6:39DALRoman Polak · Interferencedrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

OT

  • 0:59WSHJohn Carlson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Tyler Seguin0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalDAL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Dickinson, OT 3:17 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.20D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.18B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.17J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.16B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.09D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.06D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.05M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.04D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWSH
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWSH
37
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
5
7
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000010.03120—27:10
23E. LindellD000+140.14120—27:01
3J. KlingbergD000-160.40000—26:57
91T. SeguinC000060.660107321:42
45R. PolakD000020.09342—21:38
12R. FaksaC000030.132105019:46
15B. ComeauL000-100.005023319:16
18T. PitlickC101-130.09140017:29
13M. JanmarkC000010.11100015:56
14J. BennL101+120.200002015:44
90J. SpezzaC112+220.200004215:37
17D. ShoreC000020.1423010015:07
6J. HonkaD000+200.00000—13:32
43V. NichushkinR011+120.19120—13:00
16J. DickinsonC101+110.201021410:18
25B. RitchieR000+110.01000—09:08
46G. SmithC011+100.00010008:31
48D. HeatheringtonD000+110.01100—06:59
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)32293.9062.68-0.3262:59

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).