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Capitals at Senators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV NBCSWA+, SN360·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Lewington's goal at 16:00 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 24, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Lewington (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (2 A), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Lewington1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2101707324
OTTOTT07113113233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(11)
    E. Kuznetsov (26), T. Lewington (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:12
  2. WSH
    T. Lewington(1)
    N. Backstrom (33), J. Siegenthaler (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:00

2nd period

  1. WSH
    M. Bowey(1)
    T. Wilson (8)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:01
  2. OTT
    C. White(10)
    M. Stone (25), B. Tkachuk (9)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    4:22

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(18)
    B. Tkachuk (10), C. White (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    16:30

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·OTT 22 PIM

1st

  • 16:37WSHMadison Bowey · Interferencedrawn by Ben Harpur2 min

2nd

  • 4:55WSHMadison Bowey · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 4:55OTTBrady Tkachuk · Instigatordrawn by Madison Bowey2 min
  • 4:55WSHMadison Bowey · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:55OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Madison Bowey5 min
  • 4:55OTTBrady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:36OTTZack Smith · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Lewington5 min
  • 15:36WSHTyler Lewington · Fightingdrawn by Zack Smith5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Lewington, 1st 16:00 — WSH 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. White · Goal · xG 0.31M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.30M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.16R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.15J. Rodewald · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.12C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.11T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.11C. White · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.09M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.08C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.08D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.07C. White · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
1.73 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
0/1
14
Penalty minutes
22
22
Hits
21
21
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000000.00140—26:06
6M. KempnyD000010.01160—23:58
9D. OrlovD000-100.03200—22:00
77T. OshieR000000.1221010019:17
8A. OvechkinL000020.17210—18:58
19N. BackstromC011020.192105018:33
22M. BoweyD101-130.11239—18:16
34J. SiegenthalerD011+200.00310—15:21
43T. WilsonR112+120.1830010015:04
20L. EllerC000030.170003314:35
78T. LewingtonD112+220.10015—14:28
92E. KuznetsovC011+120.021005514:17
13J. VranaL000+120.20000—13:59
10B. ConnollyR000030.17000—13:20
65A. BurakovskyL000020.04100—13:14
26N. DowdC000000.000302012:35
18C. StephensonC000000.19000012:17
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.00200—11:42
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(W)33312.9393.12+1.1260:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).