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Capitals at Senators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Ottawa Senators
0
FinalTV NBCSWA+, SN360·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Niskanen's goal at 17:56 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.5, OTT 3.5; shots on goal were WSH 33, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Mike McKenna stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pheonix Copley (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Brett Connolly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Paul.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    P. Copley35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Connolly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    N. Paul

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21421009433
OTTOTT013012010035

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(8)
    J. Siegenthaler (2), L. Eller (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:32
  2. WSH
    M. Niskanen(5)
    N. Backstrom (31), A. Ovechkin (15)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:56

2nd period

  1. WSH
    J. Vrana(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    9:05
  2. WSH
    M. Kempny(3)
    B. Connolly (14)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    13:44

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:33WSHJohn Carlson · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 12:58OTTColin White · Hookingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

2nd

  • 14:11WSHTyler Lewington · Hookingdrawn by Colin White2 min

3rd

  • 9:18OTTNick Paul · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:21OTTNick Paul · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Niskanen, 1st 17:56 — WSH 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.31N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.20M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.19C. White · On goal · xG 0.19C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.18T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.16C. White · Missed · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15C. White · On goal · xG 0.14R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.13C. White · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Falk · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT0 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
3.54 G
All situations
0 G3.5
2.94 G
Even strength
0 G3.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH51%49%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
35
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+220.08012—23:21
9D. OrlovD000010.14120—22:09
2M. NiskanenD101+120.15310—22:03
8A. OvechkinL011+160.54300—20:20
6M. KempnyD101+220.05130—19:44
19N. BackstromC011+110.270104019:11
92E. KuznetsovC000+140.650002918:56
77T. OshieR000010.20310—16:20
34J. SiegenthalerD011+210.03220—16:15
10B. ConnollyR112+210.18000—14:48
43T. WilsonR000+120.15620—14:45
13J. VranaL101+130.55100—14:32
20L. EllerC011+220.040104714:23
78T. LewingtonD000+110.02402—13:07
65A. BurakovskyL000+220.15010—12:40
18C. StephensonC000000.00010012:12
26N. DowdC000020.283002510:51
72T. BoydC000+100.00100010:37
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(W)353501.0003.45+3.4559:46

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).