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Kings at Golden Knights
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-W·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Tyler Toffoli scoring at 1:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.5, VGK 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 32, VGK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (1 G), 2. Reilly Smith (1 G), 3. Nate Schmidt (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    N. Schmidt1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK072151911432
VGKVGK18191404325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    T. Nosek(4)
    O. Lindberg (6), N. Holden (7)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:10

2nd period

  1. LAK
    M. Amadio(2)
    A. Kempe (7), M. Luff (3)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:32
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(8)
    J. Marchessault (16), N. Holden (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:01
  3. LAK
    A. Iafallo(9)
    I. Kovalchuk (10)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    12:52

3rd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter(7)PPG
    D. Doughty (18), A. Kopitar (15)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    2:06
  2. VGK
    R. Reaves(7)PPG
    N. Schmidt (7), B. Pirri (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    6:55

Overtime

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(6)
    O. Fantenberg (1), J. Carter (10)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:40

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:39VGKOscar Lindberg · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

3rd

  • 1:37VGKDeryk Engelland · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
  • 5:29LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalLAK goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, OT 1:40 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.20P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.20B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.15S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.12A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.12R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.11R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.11P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsVGK
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK54%46%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsVGK
32
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
15
1
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-120.05620—28:45
24D. ForbortD000-130.03100—23:17
11A. KopitarC011010.191105722:21
23D. BrownR000050.26400—21:57
6J. MuzzinD000+210.02530—21:35
77J. CarterC112020.591101719:37
19A. IafalloL101+130.26000—19:07
73T. ToffoliC101070.70000018:20
61S. WalkerD000+100.00110—17:30
7O. FantenbergD011+100.00320—17:10
9A. KempeR011+120.02202—15:07
44N. ThompsonC000-110.120106714:59
14B. LeipsicL000-100.00000—13:24
17I. KovalchukL011-110.03020—12:45
78D. BrickleyD000-110.01410—10:51
10M. AmadioR101+210.062002910:01
64M. LuffR011+120.13020—09:53
21N. ScherbakR000000.00000—06:55
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)25223.8802.30-0.7061:40

Season series

LAK leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).