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Golden Knights at Kings
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 16:46 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were VGK 30, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 3.4 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drew Doughty (1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (29 saves, .967), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1801309130
LAKLAK1921026525

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:23
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:12

2nd period

  1. LAK
    M. Luff(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:30
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:46

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    2:48
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.07
    1-5
    18:33

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:37LAKNate Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 11:48VGKBrayden McNabb · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 18:47LAKNikita Scherbak · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

3rd

  • 3:37LAKAnze Kopitar · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalVGK goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 2nd 16:46 — LAK 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.18M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.15M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.14K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.12M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.04N. Scherbak · On goal · xG 0.04N. Scherbak · Goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.04M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.03O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.03N. Scherbak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsLAK
2.41 G
All situations
5 G1.6
2.21 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK66%34%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsLAK
30
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
23
5
Blocked shots
12
3
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6C. MillerD000-120.22300—22:54
88N. SchmidtD000-300.11010—22:32
89A. TuchR000-130.29000—20:58
67M. PaciorettyL000-100.0011010020:10
22N. HoldenD000+140.10300—19:41
27S. TheodoreD000-130.05110—19:37
81J. MarchessaultR000-120.082001419:17
71W. KarlssonC000-120.240003817:43
5D. EngellandD000-100.01110—17:04
21C. EakinC000-100.000007017:03
19R. SmithR000-110.16010—16:51
3B. McNabbD000-110.02102—14:22
92T. NosekL011000.002007313:39
24O. LindbergL101040.23400—12:29
75R. ReavesR000-110.30300—12:25
40R. CarpenterC011030.430005012:03
41P. BellemareL000-110.031004011:11
28W. CarrierL000-130.18600—09:19
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)25205.8001.61-3.3960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).