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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
4
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV FS-SW, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 6-4. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 16:40 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 42, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL09213220442
COLCOL3201829637

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(20)PPG
    T. Barrie (19), N. MacKinnon (29)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:45
  2. COL
    M. Calvert(5)
    M. Nieto (7)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:57
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(14)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (30)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    19:45

2nd period

  1. DAL
    E. Lindell(6)SHG
    M. Janmark (8), T. Fedun (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    8:36
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(9)
    D. Gurianov (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:20
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(15)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (31), J. Compher (4)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    14:53

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(10)PPG
    T. Fedun (3), A. Radulov (14)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    3-4
    13:14
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(13)
    T. Seguin (20), A. Radulov (15)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    15:24
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(21)
    E. Johnson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +40 pts
    4-5
    16:40
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(21)EN
    M. Rantanen (41)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    18:37

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:28DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 10:16COLA.J. Greer · High stickingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 12:51DALJason Dickinson · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 18:17DALRadek Faksa · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 6:53DALRadek Faksa · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 12:24COLserved by S. Andrighetto · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:40DALMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

3rd

  • 7:01DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 9:20DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 11:20COLCarl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 3rd 16:40 — COL 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.81M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.54J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.17J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.16J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.09G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.08G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.04M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
2.94 G
All situations
5 G3.9
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
42
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
3/7
14
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-260.15000—25:54
23E. LindellD101+110.10220—22:38
45R. PolakD000010.01430—21:47
91T. SeguinC213-160.793225520:49
42T. FedunD022+150.08200—19:18
14J. BennL101-120.412206718:15
47A. RadulovR022-220.24102—17:41
11M. HanzalC000-120.252105015:50
17D. ShoreC000010.021005015:22
6J. HonkaD000-140.23210—14:50
12R. FaksaC000000.073042714:15
90J. SpezzaC000030.140105013:57
34D. GurianovR011+130.09400—13:41
44G. BayreutherD000+110.02010—13:08
16J. DickinsonC000040.291025012:18
15B. ComeauL000000.00312—11:33
13M. JanmarkC011+100.00002010:44
43V. NichushkinR000+110.03000—09:59
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)16142.8751.12-0.8838:03
35A. Khudobin20173.8501.96-1.0420:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).