Skip to content
Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV FS-SW+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 17:18 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 9% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 29, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Semyon Varlamov (27 saves, .931), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Varlamov27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0608215229
COLCOL06112218336

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(15)
    M. Rantanen (28), G. Landeskog (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    13:11

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(4)
    A. Radulov (11)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    1-1
    11:32
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(9)
    T. Seguin (16), A. Radulov (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +39 pts
    2-1
    15:03
  3. COL
    J. Compher(6)
    A. Kerfoot (14), T. Jost (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:18
  4. COL
    M. Rantanen(10)
    E. Johnson (7), N. MacKinnon (20)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    2-3
    18:04

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:07DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:19COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 9:35DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

2nd

  • 9:48DALTaylor Fedun · Hookingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min
  • 15:16DALRoman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 17:42COLVladislav Kamenev · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 3rd 17:18 — COL 9% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.14T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.14S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.00N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
36
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000-120.09130—25:45
4M. HeiskanenD000000.00112—23:17
44G. BayreutherD000010.01000—23:00
45R. PolakD000-210.08422—22:01
91T. SeguinC011+140.161004720:46
14J. BennL101-110.24310—20:35
47A. RadulovR022+130.50120—19:08
15B. ComeauL000050.25110—15:09
18T. PitlickC000-110.13220014:48
17D. ShoreC000-120.15000014:39
12R. FaksaC101010.060103513:58
42T. FedunD000+130.05132—13:56
16J. DickinsonC000000.000205013:34
13M. JanmarkC000030.24000013:17
90J. SpezzaC000-110.020004211:48
24R. HintzC000010.09010010:18
6J. HonkaD000000.01000—09:52
43V. NichushkinR000-100.00000—07:32
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)36333.9172.50-0.5058:31

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).