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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV SNW, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in overtime, Josh Morrissey scoring at 0:41. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 0:41 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 26, WPG 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.9 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Byfuglien (2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Mathieu Perreault (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Perreault1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM1113130200426
WPGWPG2161611711540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:12
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    15:43
  3. WPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:51

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:42
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:04
  3. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.28win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:18
  4. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    4-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +31 pts
    4-4
    9:58

Overtime

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    0:41

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:12EDMJason Garrison · Interferencedrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 8:54EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 11:17WPGBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 18:48WPGPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min

3rd

  • 5:19EDMConnor McDavid · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, OT 0:41 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.17B. Little · On goal · xG 0.15P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.13P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.09J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.09M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Little · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
2.24 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM36%64%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
40
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101-130.36040—31:04
6A. LarssonD000-100.03210—28:45
97C. McDavidC022-110.270145022:52
29L. DraisaitlC022030.201003820:53
5K. GravelD000-200.00230—20:38
39A. ChiassonR112040.37010—19:20
83M. BenningD000010.02210—18:05
28K. BrodziakC000010.081105617:25
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-110.000003617:20
44Z. KassianR000020.02100—17:10
27M. LucicL000010.00400—13:22
16J. KhairaL101030.55210—12:12
10C. WidemanD000+130.08210—11:07
91D. CaggiulaL000010.03110—10:35
98J. PuljujarviR011000.00020—10:07
22T. RiederL000-110.01200—10:06
13J. GarrisonD000+200.00042—08:59
23R. SpoonerC101+110.190006006:36
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(O)40355.8753.05-1.9560:37

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).