Skip to content
Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
4
Final/OTTV SNOL, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4 in overtime, Darnell Nurse scoring at 1:25. The Oilers came back from three goals down. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 1:25 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 35, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 2. Adam Lowry (2 G), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM11201231011535
WPGWPG3141110800433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)
    B. Tanev (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:51
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(3)
    M. Perreault (1), A. Copp (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:47
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (3), R. Nugent-Hopkins (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:49
  4. WPG
    B. Chiarot(1)
    N. Ehlers (1), D. Kulikov (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    13:11

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(2)PPG
    P. Laine (2), J. Morrissey (5)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    1:02

3rd period

  1. EDM
    T. Rattie(1)
    C. McDavid (4), O. Klefbom (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    0:18
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(4)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (3), L. Draisaitl (4)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    2:28
  3. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(1)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (4), C. McDavid (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +35 pts
    4-4
    13:39

Overtime

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(1)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:25

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:50WPGDmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:09EDMserved by T. Rattie · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 9:19EDMMilan Lucic · High stickingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 1:41WPGAndrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 10:22EDMMilan Lucic · Chargingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, OT 1:25 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.34M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.18P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.05 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM59%41%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101050.22100—27:44
4K. RussellD000-110.04040—25:17
77O. KlefbomD011+130.06110—24:03
6A. LarssonD000+120.11010—22:31
97C. McDavidC224+230.570006922:12
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC044+320.230003321:10
29L. DraisaitlC022-110.280106317:18
8T. RattieR101+150.56000—16:34
18R. StromeC000010.050103616:13
98J. PuljujarviR101-130.1411010016:05
27M. LucicL000-100.10204—14:30
22T. RiederL000020.0610010013:48
56K. YamamotoR000-110.16120—12:17
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.09400—11:56
83M. BenningD000-110.04010—11:21
16J. KhairaL000-110.1510010009:39
13J. GarrisonD000-110.04020—08:53
28K. BrodziakC000-110.0501010007:14
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)33294.8792.38-1.6261:06

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).