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Canucks at Predators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Nashville Predators
▸4
Final/OTTV FS-TN, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Colton Sissons scoring at 3:05. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 3:05 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 22, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Pekka Rinne stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Colton Sissons (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 3. Nick Bonino (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Sissons1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Hartman1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN17052901322
NSHNSH281901512434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Hartman(9)
    D. Hamhuis (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:52
  2. NSH
    N. Bonino(5)
    C. Sissons (9), R. Josi (18)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:40
  3. VAN
    J. Beagle(1)SHG
    M. Granlund (7)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:15

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(7)
    K. Turris (12), Y. Weber (5)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    11:05

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(10)PPG
    A. Edler (8), E. Pettersson (17)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    15:55
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(15)SHG
    N. Goldobin (14), B. Hutton (9)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:16

Overtime

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(7)
    N. Bonino (8), M. Ekholm (17)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:05

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:07NSHRocco Grimaldi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:30NSHPekka Rinne · Trippingdrawn by Nikolay Goldobin2 min
  • 13:31VANAntoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

2nd

  • 4:23NSHKyle Turris · Holdingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

3rd

  • 2:45VANAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 15:11NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 16:50NSHDan Hamhuis · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:01VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, OT 3:05 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.36C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.26D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.24C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.22R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.20C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.19M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.19R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.18R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.17C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.04M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.04M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.60 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.32 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN26%74%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD011000.00234—24:55
53B. HorvatC101020.651105224:02
6B. BoeserR101030.28000—23:06
40E. PetterssonC011030.490104420:44
27B. HuttonD011-110.02110—20:28
8C. TanevD000000.00130—19:20
77N. GoldobinR011+140.24000—18:49
51T. StecherD000-100.00110—17:59
55A. BiegaD000-110.03210—17:22
5D. PouliotD000-120.05020—17:13
60M. GranlundC011+120.161001016:20
18J. VirtanenR000-110.01100—16:09
21L. ErikssonL000000.01000—15:41
26A. RousselL000020.08222—15:17
17J. LeivoL000-100.00000—14:49
83J. BeagleC101-110.392007010:21
64T. MotteC000-200.00200008:25
59T. SchallerL000-200.01100—04:12
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(O)34304.8823.91-0.0961:54

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).