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Predators at Canucks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Nashville Predators 5-3. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Virtanen's goal at 8:57 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 29, VAN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Virtanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Virtanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0917213329
VANVAN21421115530

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    A. Edler(2)PPG
    N. Goldobin (13), E. Pettersson (11)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:48
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(13)
    J. Virtanen (5), A. Roussel (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:33

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Hartman(8)
    Y. Weber (3), R. Johansen (20)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:21
  2. VAN
    J. Virtanen(9)
    A. Roussel (8), B. Horvat (14)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:57
  3. VAN
    E. Pettersson(14)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    18:49

3rd period

  1. VAN
    L. Eriksson(5)
    A. Roussel (9)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    1:21
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(5)
    R. Josi (15), M. Salomaki (1)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    5:17
  3. NSH
    M. Irwin(1)
    Y. Weber (4), C. Sissons (7)
    deflectedxG 0.04
    3-5
    18:37

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:29NSHAustin Watson · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 9:22VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

2nd

  • 1:57NSHCalle Jarnkrok · High stickingdrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min
  • 18:49NSHMattias Ekholm · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Elias Pettersson0 min
  • 19:20NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Virtanen, 2nd 8:57 — VAN 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eriksson · Goal · xG 0.29E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.28B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.27B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.23B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.14N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.14N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.09N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.04A. Edler · Goal · xG 0.04E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01
VAN5 G · 3.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
1.93 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.93 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH29%71%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
36
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. EllisD000-120.04310—25:48
59R. JosiD011-110.08120—25:35
14M. EkholmD000-110.09202—23:03
5D. HamhuisD000-100.02220—20:56
38R. HartmanR101-220.13100—17:28
92R. JohansenC011-210.051006317:20
22K. FialaL000-120.25300—16:49
19C. JarnkrokC000040.261022716:25
11E. TolvanenR000000.07210—15:53
10C. SissonsC112+220.153105415:43
15C. SmithC000010.01220015:10
51A. WatsonL000+210.11302—14:40
13N. BoninoC000010.261003313:29
23R. GrimaldiR000040.28010—12:43
52M. IrwinD101+240.08000—12:31
7Y. WeberD022+110.02110—11:39
89F. GaudreauC000000.003007511:19
20M. SalomakiR011+220.03710—10:17
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)25214.8402.07-1.9340:00
74J. Saros541.8001.13+0.1318:53

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).