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Predators at Flames
NHL

Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 6:03 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 27, CGY 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Oliver Kylington (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alan Quine (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    O. Kylington1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Quine1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1708112227
CGYCGY1411239525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    O. Kylington(1)
    E. Lindholm (18), J. Gaudreau (26)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:12
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(6)
    R. Josi (16), M. Salomaki (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:07

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(18)
    N. Hanifin (11), T. Hamonic (6)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:40

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(8)
    M. Ekholm (15), R. Grimaldi (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    0:54
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(4)
    M. Tkachuk (20), O. Kylington (1)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    6:03
  3. CGY
    A. Quine(1)
    R. Andersson (2)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    12:12
  4. CGY
    E. Lindholm(16)EN
    J. Gaudreau (27), S. Monahan (17)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:00

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:29NSHNick Bonino · Hookingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 12:16CGYTJ Brodie · Slashingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 8:10NSHDan Hamhuis · Holdingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 11:27CGYGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 11:27NSHRyan Hartman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNSH goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 3rd 6:03 — CGY 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.90A. Quine · Goal · xG 0.20M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.19A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.15O. Kylington · Goal · xG 0.15M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Prout · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Prout · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01D. Prout · Missed · xG 0.00M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCGY
2.12 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH44%56%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD011-310.03130—24:19
59R. JosiD011030.21120—24:09
4R. EllisD000+110.01120—23:51
5D. HamhuisD000-300.00102—20:15
92R. JohansenC000-410.294006718:04
10C. SissonsC101-130.320005417:32
22K. FialaL000-320.1901010017:09
15C. SmithC101030.09100016:51
38R. HartmanR000-120.04212—16:29
13N. BoninoC000-110.190123116:01
51A. WatsonL000010.00100—15:47
19C. JarnkrokC000000.050107514:16
20M. SalomakiR011+100.11300—14:10
7Y. WeberD000-130.04220—13:59
2A. BitettoD000010.01230—12:37
23R. GrimaldiR011030.25000—12:31
89F. GaudreauC000-110.21000010:24
36Z. RinaldoC000010.03200006:09
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)24204.8332.42-1.5859:27

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).