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Flames at Predators
NHL

Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Nashville Predators
0
FinalTV FS-TN, SNF·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 5:22 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 68% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were CGY 27, NSH 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 43 of 43 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (43 saves, 1.000), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (3 A), 3. Sean Monahan (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith43 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1819110327
NSHNSH07021015043

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(3)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    16:11

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(3)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (5), J. Gaudreau (5)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    5:22

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(4)
    J. Gaudreau (6), T. Brodie (3)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:33

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:58NSHP.K. Subban · Trippingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min
  • 15:13NSHMattias Ekholm · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

2nd

  • 4:42NSHserved by K. Fiala · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:16CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 9:16CGYMichael Stone · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:16CGYMikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:21NSHKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:47CGYElias Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCGY goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 5:22 — CGY 68% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.27R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.12P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNSH
2.63 G
All situations
0 G3.3
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
1.32 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY36%64%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
43
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
5
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000020.10210—22:37
13J. GaudreauL033+120.11000—22:23
5M. GiordanoD000+110.01020—22:19
28E. LindholmC101+110.130026322:02
7T. BrodieD011+100.00000—20:44
23S. MonahanC202+140.710003020:12
26M. StoneD000010.02012—19:10
8J. VälimäkiD000010.03060—17:46
11M. BacklundC000030.110023317:09
29D. DubeC000020.220104015:18
19M. TkachukL011030.52102—14:48
18J. NealL000010.02100—14:42
27A. CzarnikC000040.330004014:18
93S. BennettC000000.09000013:27
4R. AnderssonD000010.02030—11:52
10D. RyanC000000.080005010:11
67M. FrolikR000010.09100—07:46
16A. PelusoR000000.00000—05:16
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)434301.0003.30+3.3060:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).