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Islanders at Red Wings
NHL

New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
2
FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Martin's goal at 3:24 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.3, DET 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 19, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jonathan Bernier stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Greiss (23 saves, .920), 2. Dylan Larkin (2 A), 3. Matt Martin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    T. Greiss23 saves, .920
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0621013319
DETDET2708010225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Abdelkader(5)
    D. Larkin (16), G. Nyquist (20)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:59
  2. DET
    N. Kronwall(1)
    D. Larkin (17)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:53

2nd period

  1. NYI
    C. Cizikas(7)
    R. Johnston (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:31
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(2)PPG
    J. Bailey (16), M. Barzal (19)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:57

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(4)
    C. Clutterbuck (3), N. Leddy (6)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +26 pts
    3-2
    3:24

Penalties

NYI 18 PIM·DET 20 PIM

1st

  • 9:51DETNiklas Kronwall · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 18:39NYIJosh Bailey · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Larkin5 min
  • 18:39DETDylan Larkin · Fightingdrawn by Josh Bailey5 min
  • 18:39NYIJosh Bailey · Trippingdrawn by Niklas Kronwall2 min

2nd

  • 5:21DETJonathan Ericsson · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 6:32DETJustin Abdelkader · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 11:17DETDennis Cholowski · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:36DETJustin Abdelkader · Fightingdrawn by Johnny Boychuk5 min
  • 13:36NYIJohnny Boychuk · Fightingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader5 min
  • 13:36NYIBrock Nelson · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Ericsson2 min
  • 13:36DETJonathan Ericsson · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 18:28NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

3rd

  • 12:04NYICal Clutterbuck · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYI goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Martin, 3rd 3:24 — NYI 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.32T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.15F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.13G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.11A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.07M. Green · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kronwall · Goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.03F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.03L. Witkowski · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.02L. Witkowski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDET
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI47%53%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDET
19
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
20
24
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD101020.18400—21:50
24S. MayfieldD000030.06010—21:34
4T. HickeyD000010.02120—21:32
13M. BarzalC011030.161104020:38
2N. LeddyD011000.05000—20:10
55J. BoychukD000010.01115—18:47
18A. BeauvillierR000010.05012—17:12
53C. CizikasC101+220.182205816:52
15C. ClutterbuckR011+200.16602—16:43
29B. NelsonC000-210.060026015:19
7J. EberleR000-220.35100—15:15
12J. BaileyR011020.130074015:05
51V. FilppulaC000000.610006015:05
47L. KomarovR000000.0020010014:17
27A. LeeL000-200.01010—13:32
3A. PelechD000000.01100—12:27
17M. MartinL101+110.28320—11:23
32R. JohnstonL011+100.00200—06:29
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)25232.9202.11+0.1159:52

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).