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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Senators scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Byron's goal at 11:03 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 1.4; shots on goal were MTL 43, OTT 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Carey Price stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Byron (2 G), 2. Colin White (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Petry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    P. Byron2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. White1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL113211219543
OTTOTT1101803221

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(14)
    C. White (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:58
  2. MTL
    J. Petry(4)
    M. Chaput (1), K. Agostino (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:18

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Byron(5)
    P. Danault (13), A. Lehkonen (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:03
  2. MTL
    A. Shaw(8)
    J. Drouin (16), J. Kotkaniemi (11)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    15:42
  3. OTT
    C. White(8)PPG
    R. Dzingel (9), M. Stone (18)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    18:50

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(13)
    T. Tatar (12), J. Petry (16)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:19
  2. MTL
    P. Byron(6)EN
    S. Weber (2)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:28

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:17OTTZack Smith · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 8:36OTTMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 18:27MTLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

3rd

  • 15:03OTTBen Harpur · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Byron, 2nd 11:03 — MTL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. White · Goal · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17C. White · On goal · xG 0.17M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.11B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.01M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.4 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
3.04 G
All situations
2 G1.4
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL68%32%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
43
Shots on goal
21
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
37
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
20
10
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011020.08410—24:35
17B. KulakD000010.01212—22:06
26J. PetryD112+360.21220—21:30
21D. SchlemkoD000+230.04220—21:20
92J. DrouinL011+140.25110—19:53
65A. ShawR101+130.453003317:42
13M. DomiC000000.014003117:10
15J. KotkaniemiC011+120.030106716:28
11B. GallagherR101090.53100—16:11
90T. TatarL011000.00300—15:59
24P. DanaultC011+210.061104715:57
47K. AgostinoL011+110.0240010013:55
62A. LehkonenL011+210.11110—13:45
28M. ReillyD000+100.01400—13:44
8J. BennD000+210.01100—13:06
41P. ByronL202+241.00310—12:31
20N. DeslauriersL000+130.13100—12:08
43M. ChaputC011+120.030105011:40
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)21192.9051.37-0.6359:57

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).