Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 2:30. The Senators came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 2:30 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 27, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carey Price stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Paul Byron (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Stone2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Duchene1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Byron1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-03:40
2-04:05
2-17:14
3-116:07
2nd period
3-29:41
3-312:01
Overtime
3-42:30
Penalties
1st
- 0:24
Thomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 2:56
Chris Wideman · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Peca2 min
- 11:34
Brendan Gallagher · Boardingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
- 19:39
Noah Juulsen · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
2nd
- 10:23
Artturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
- 14:20
Christian Jaros · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
3rd
- 10:29
Jeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 2:30 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.0
- 1.22 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 2.90
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 33
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 13
- Giveaways
- 13
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
