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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA+·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 7:58 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.6 to 3.8; shots on goal were WSH 24, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (32 saves, .970), 3. Valtteri Filppula (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    V. Filppula1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1121329424
NYINYI18010015133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    V. Filppula(7)
    R. Pulock (6), L. Komarov (8)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:36
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(5)
    N. Backstrom (20), M. Bowey (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:50

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(3)
    D. Jaskin (3), J. Carlson (21)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:58

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(6)PPG
    N. Backstrom (21), L. Eller (9)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    14:21
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(18)EN
    T. Wilson (6), N. Backstrom (22)
    wristxG 0.95
    4-1
    19:38

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:20WSHAlex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 4:22WSHserved by J. Vrana · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:32WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min

3rd

  • 4:05WSHTom Wilson · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min
  • 12:04NYITanner Fritz · Hookingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min
  • 12:34NYIThomas Hickey · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, 2nd 7:58 — WSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.25A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.24A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.22V. Filppula · Goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.13V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.13R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.12T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.11R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.10R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.09T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.04V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
4.63 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH34%66%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
24
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+110.23010—23:47
2M. NiskanenD000010.14110—22:19
6M. KempnyD000+130.03330—22:07
9D. OrlovD000010.08022—20:55
43T. WilsonR213+160.8021210020:26
8A. OvechkinL101+131.60412—19:20
19N. BackstromC033+101.020105019:00
20L. EllerC011000.060204017:54
23D. JaskinR011+120.26300—15:06
22M. BoweyD011+110.01220—14:33
26N. DowdC101+120.112005014:31
29C. DjoosD000+110.01000—14:23
18C. StephensonC000+100.00100014:22
10B. ConnollyR000000.00000—13:08
13J. VranaL000000.12010—12:47
72T. BoydC000010.010102511:46
65A. BurakovskyL000020.08000—10:10
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.00110—05:26
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)33321.9703.76+2.7660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).