Skip to content

New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV FS-F, MSG+ 2·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime, Mike Hoffman scoring at 1:28. The Panthers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 1:28 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were NJD 32, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sami Vatanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    S. Vatanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD0132121700332
FLAFLA0102141911434

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:23
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    6:01
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    7:31
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    11:43

3rd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    11:27
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:31

Overtime

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:28

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:31FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 16:00NJDStefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 5:35NJDMiles Wood · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:49NJDTravis Zajac · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 12:37NJDEgor Yakovlev · Holdingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

3rd

  • 3:34FLAMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, OT 1:28 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.22C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.17D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.16M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.15D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.10J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
1.73 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD22%78%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-110.01100—25:08
6A. GreeneD000+120.02120—21:48
45S. VatanenD022000.02110—21:29
9T. HallL011020.381105021:02
13N. HischierC000-130.251004519:48
19T. ZajacC000-110.001123718:17
63J. BrattL101-130.21000—17:46
12B. LovejoyD000+120.05000—16:56
8W. ButcherD000-130.20000—16:54
21K. PalmieriC000020.1222010016:38
74E. YakovlevD011+110.04022—16:37
37P. ZachaC000+210.051004716:02
20B. ColemanL101030.143005015:34
44M. WoodL101+110.07000—11:56
11B. BoyleC000000.002005011:22
23S. NoesenR000000.0012210011:02
10J. DeaC000030.050006709:48
43B. SeneyL000040.052104008:25
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(O)34304.8823.35-0.6561:28

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).