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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FS-F, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Florida Panthers 3-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 19:50 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 37, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. James Reimer stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Keith Kinkaid stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Keith Kinkaid (35 saves, .946), 3. Nico Hischier (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    K. Kinkaid35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA012012213237
NJDNJD1921403326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:50

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:05
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:21

3rd period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    15:03
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    2-3
    19:45

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·NJD 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:44NJDMiles Wood · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:17NJDEric Gryba · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 8:51NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 8:51FLANick Bjugstad · Cross checkingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 12:58NJDMiles Wood · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

2nd

  • 9:55FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 13:57FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 15:01NJDBrian Boyle · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 15:01FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 15:20FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

3rd

  • 0:39NJDSami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 8:47FLAJuho Lammikko · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 1st 19:50 — NJD 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.41T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.26D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.17K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.15A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.14B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.13S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.08S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dea · Missed · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.00M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 3.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA52%48%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
37
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
30
3
Giveaways
13
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD011040.12000—24:32
16A. BarkovC000-100.130205924:25
21V. TrocheckC000+120.192026222:14
19M. MathesonD101-130.34000—21:58
11J. HuberdeauL011000.11100—20:18
63E. DadonovL011-130.46000—19:46
5A. EkbladD000-120.29104—19:19
6A. PetrovicD000-150.05430—18:54
68M. HoffmanC101+280.47010018:13
27N. BjugstadC000-120.011025016:53
72F. VatranoR000010.20110—14:12
55B. KiselevichD000000.00110—13:44
52M. WeegarD000010.02202—13:18
90J. McCannL000010.000006312:35
7C. SceviourC000-110.09200010:41
22T. BrouwerR000010.041005009:47
91J. LammikkoC000030.221022907:55
78M. MaminC000000.00300005:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(L)26233.8852.65-0.3557:07

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).