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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, SN360·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 8-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 10:50 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 36, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.1 goals below expected; Chad Johnson stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (5 G), 2. Bryan Little (4 A), 3. Kyle Connor (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Laine5 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Little4 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG214411211836
STLSTL2707213427

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    13:42
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:45
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:26
  4. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    1:41
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    10:50
  3. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    5-2
    12:53
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    16:02

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Little (10), K. Connor (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    7-2
    1:16
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12
    7-3
    7:42
  3. STL
    P. Maroon(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.16
    7-4
    14:32
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.14
    8-4
    19:20

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·STL 17 PIM

1st

  • 12:09STLPatrick Maroon · Holdingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 13:22WPGBryan Little · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 0:34STLVladimir Tarasenko · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 4:59STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 7:18WPGJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 7:22STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 13:30STLJoel Edmundson · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Myers5 min
  • 13:30WPGTyler Myers · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 13:30WPGTyler Myers · Fightingdrawn by Joel Edmundson5 min
  • 13:30STLJoel Edmundson · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 10:16STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:18WPGBrendan Lemieux · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Tanev, 2nd 10:50 — WPG 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.27V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.18P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.16O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.12R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
3.38 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.67 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG57%43%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
36
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
17
13
Hits
34
12
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
2
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011+420.18022—22:01
55M. ScheifeleC011030.480004621:08
26B. WheelerR112030.310005020:29
33D. ByfuglienD011020.03100—20:18
44J. MorrisseyD011+210.09110—20:18
29P. LaineL505+250.72110—18:43
57T. MyersD000000.03007—17:40
81K. ConnorL044+240.19010—17:22
7B. ChiarotD000000.00550—17:17
70J. MorrowD000+220.08000—17:06
27N. EhlersL000+160.37000—16:56
85M. PerreaultC011+110.04000014:51
18B. LittleC044+210.200026714:37
17A. LowryC000+100.001005314:34
13B. TanevL101+120.12300—13:11
28J. RoslovicC011+110.140202509:39
19N. PetanC011+120.10000009:37
48B. LemieuxL101+110.19102—09:02
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)27234.8522.85-1.1559:57

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).