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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸7
Ottawa Senators
5
FinalTV FS-F, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-5. The Senators scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Haley's goal at 8:49 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 32, OTT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. James Reimer stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 2.1 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juho Lammikko (4 A), 2. Matt Duchene (2 G, 1 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Lammikko4 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA41421018732
OTTOTT18215215538

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(9)
    C. Jaros (2), T. Chabot (19)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:53
  2. FLA
    T. Brouwer(4)
    J. Lammikko (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:44
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(6)PPG
    V. Trocheck (11), K. Yandle (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    2-1
    6:35
  4. FLA
    J. McCann(2)
    D. Hunt (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    11:03
  5. FLA
    E. Dadonov(9)
    A. Barkov (11), A. Ekblad (3)
    backhandxG 0.48win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(10)
    D. Batherson (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    1:32
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(2)PPG
    M. Duchene (17), M. Lajoie (5)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    4:39
  3. FLA
    M. Haley(1)
    J. Lammikko (3), A. Ekblad (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    8:49
  4. FLA
    F. Vatrano(6)
    J. Lammikko (4)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    6-3
    16:29

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Z. Smith(3)
    B. Ryan (8), M. Borowiecki (2)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +5 pts
    6-4
    6:35
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(6)
    M. Stone (15), C. Tierney (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    6-5
    9:30
  3. FLA
    M. Hoffman(9)
    J. Lammikko (5), M. Matheson (7)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    7-5
    18:20

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:17OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 16:23FLAMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

2nd

  • 4:32FLAJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 13:24FLAserved by N. Bjugstad · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:28OTTBobby Ryan · Roughingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 15:28FLAJared McCann · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 13:16FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 14:55FLAMike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:47OTTDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Micheal Haley, 2nd 8:49 — FLA 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.22Z. Smith · Goal · xG 0.21M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.14B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
2.07 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.76 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA32%68%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
38
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
24
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022+120.05130—24:30
19M. MathesonD011+110.07224—23:24
16A. BarkovC112-130.130106321:52
52M. WeegarD000+130.02220—20:46
13M. PysykD000+110.03310—20:27
90J. McCannL101010.121244218:23
11J. HuberdeauL000+100.00122—16:11
6A. PetrovicD000020.06110—16:06
91J. LammikkoC044+310.091202015:51
68M. HoffmanC101060.29100015:46
63E. DadonovL101-110.48000—15:07
3K. YandleD011000.00010—14:29
22T. BrouwerR101+120.26200—13:39
27N. BjugstadC000020.015204013:33
72F. VatranoR101+130.151005013:22
73D. HuntL011000.00300—10:41
18M. HaleyL101+130.20110—09:49
21V. TrocheckC011010.021005005:57
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(W)38335.8682.94-2.0660:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).