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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV FS-F, TVAS·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Senators scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 14:57 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 35, FLA 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mike McKenna stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 2. Mike Hoffman (2 A), 3. Juho Lammikko (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Lammikko1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11007018135
FLAFLA07522011540

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    R. Dzingel(9)PPG
    C. Tierney (14), M. Lajoie (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    18:35

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    M. Hoffman (6), E. Dadonov (9)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:05
  2. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(4)PPG
    K. Yandle (12), V. Trocheck (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:01
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(5)
    B. Kiselevich (3), M. Hoffman (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    14:57
  4. FLA
    T. Brouwer(3)
    C. Sceviour (1), J. Lammikko (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:03
  5. FLA
    F. Vatrano(5)
    J. Huberdeau (10), B. Kiselevich (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:11

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 17:02FLAFrank Vatrano · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 5:35OTTCody Ceci · Slashingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 6:38OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 12:31FLANick Bjugstad · Slashingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min
  • 18:33FLAJuho Lammikko · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

3rd

  • 3:05OTTMark Stone · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 13:09FLATroy Brouwer · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 17:34FLAVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Christian Jaros2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 2nd 14:57 — FLA 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.35D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.22C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.19F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.17F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.12D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kiselevich · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kiselevich · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.81 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.10 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT42%58%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
35
Shots on goal
40
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-150.20120—28:33
95M. DucheneC000-140.290005223:52
5C. CeciD000-110.03002—20:47
61M. StoneR000-110.501026020:19
9B. RyanR000-230.161105019:45
18R. DzingelC101-130.44000019:12
58M. LajoieD011-100.00000—19:03
71C. TierneyC011-210.020103518:50
89M. BoedkerL000-220.26000—17:21
7B. TkachukL000-120.224005016:58
83C. JarosD000-200.00120—16:29
56M. PaajarviL000020.090105014:43
2D. DeMeloD000-110.02000—14:08
74M. BorowieckiD000-220.11222—12:09
13N. PaulL000060.25100—11:37
10T. PyattL000-100.110103009:12
17M. McCormickL000-110.06110—08:45
36C. WhiteC000010.030004004:00
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. McKenna(L)40355.8753.26-1.7459:51

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).