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Capitals at Wild
NHL

Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV FS-N, NBCSWA·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 19:32 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were WSH 33, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Devan Dubnyk stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andre Burakovsky (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Orlov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Burakovsky1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21211526533
MINMIN0618114228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Orlov(1)
    L. Eller (6), A. Burakovsky (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:33
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(1)
    D. Orlov (3), E. Kuznetsov (15)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:32

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(2)
    L. Eller (7), B. Connolly (8)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:13
  2. MIN
    M. Koivu(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    11:57

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Orlov(2)
    A. Ovechkin (8), M. Niskanen (6)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:23
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(9)
    N. Backstrom (16), J. Vrana (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    9:48
  3. MIN
    M. Dumba(6)PPG
    M. Koivu (10), M. Foligno (3)
    deflectedxG 0.07
    5-2
    14:08

Penalties

WSH 19 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:56MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 19:32WSHTom Wilson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min

2nd

  • 3:49MINNick Seeler · Slashingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 9:50WSHAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 11:58WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 11:58MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min

3rd

  • 4:23WSHMatt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 10:41WSHDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 12:11WSHJohn Carlson · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:11MINNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 12:18WSHMadison Bowey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:41WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Elbowingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWSH goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 1st 19:32 — WSH 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.09M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.06M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.01E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMIN
1.55 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.25 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/6
19
Penalty minutes
11
9
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
3
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD213+340.13022—24:20
74J. CarlsonD000+330.10132—23:35
2M. NiskanenD011000.00332—22:47
20L. EllerC022+220.180005819:23
6M. KempnyD000010.01020—18:17
8A. OvechkinL011+220.06100—16:51
43T. WilsonR101+210.12107—16:47
92E. KuznetsovC011+240.120124616:34
19N. BackstromC011020.070005616:26
77T. OshieR101050.17020—15:42
22M. BoweyD000+130.10212—14:23
18C. StephensonC000000.00010013:09
29C. DjoosD000+110.03000—13:05
10B. ConnollyR011+220.20000—12:25
13J. VranaL011+120.13030—12:15
65A. BurakovskyL112+110.11122—12:07
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.000005010:45
72T. BoydC000000.000003809:20
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1P. Copley(W)28262.9292.12+0.1259:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).