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Lightning at Senators
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Ottawa Senators
3
Final/OTTV NHLN-US, SUN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Yanni Gourde scoring at 0:14. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 0:14 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 45, OTT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 41 of 45 (.911). Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A), 2. Craig Anderson (41 saves, .911), 3. Mark Stone (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson41 saves, .911
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL0811422112445
OTTOTT213081400325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(4)PPG
    M. Stone (8), T. Chabot (14)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:55
  2. OTT
    M. Lajoie(5)PPG
    R. Dzingel (4), M. Boedker (7)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    14:49

2nd period

  1. TBL
    C. Paquette(2)
    R. McDonagh (7), A. Erne (3)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:38

3rd period

  1. TBL
    M. Joseph(1)
    A. Cirelli (2), A. Stralman (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:04
  2. OTT
    C. Ceci(2)
    C. Tierney (10), M. Stone (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    15:16
  3. TBL
    B. Point(8)PPG
    T. Johnson (5), R. McDonagh (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    19:33

Overtime

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(6)
    B. Point (9), R. McDonagh (9)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:14

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:32TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 12:15OTTChris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:05TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 1:48OTTMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 5:00TBLAdam Erne · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

3rd

  • 18:20OTTMikkel Boedker · Slashingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalTBL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, OT 0:14 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lajoie · Goal · xG 0.22M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.18C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.16B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.13M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.13T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10C. White · On goal · xG 0.09M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCormick · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.1 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsOTT
4.04 G
All situations
3 G2.1
3.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL79%21%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.86 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsOTT
45
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
24
12
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD033+230.30020—26:53
6A. StralmanD011+240.05210—23:35
86N. KucherovR000-150.47102—18:35
98M. SergachevD000020.05012—18:12
91S. StamkosC000-160.373104017:45
55B. CoburnD000+110.02130—17:36
10J. MillerC000-110.043107016:55
17A. KillornL000+130.59200—16:35
21B. PointC112+120.342005816:28
37Y. GourdeC101+140.33200015:37
5D. GirardiD000-100.00500—15:33
9T. JohnsonC011030.070103314:38
13C. PaquetteC101+120.184503314:18
29S. KoekkoekD000-120.04210—13:54
71A. CirelliC011+140.411207313:23
24R. CallahanR000+110.49100—13:22
73A. ErneL011+110.110123313:16
7M. JosephR101+110.09320—12:20
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)25223.8802.08-0.9258:54

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).