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Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸7
Ottawa Senators
4
FinalTV NBCSP, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 15:45 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were PHI 45, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.8 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 38 of 44 (.864), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Voracek (2 G, 3 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Voracek2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11639320745
OTTOTT11421219435

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(1)PPG
    C. Tierney (3), M. Lajoie (2)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    8:39
  2. PHI
    J. Voracek(1)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (1), C. Giroux (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    14:44

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(2)
    M. Boedker (2), T. Chabot (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:20
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(2)
    R. Gudas (2), J. Voracek (4)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:04
  3. PHI
    J. Voracek(2)
    R. Gudas (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    6:35
  4. OTT
    M. Lajoie(2)PPG
    C. Tierney (4), B. Tkachuk (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    11:13
  5. PHI
    S. Laughton(2)
    D. Weise (1), A. MacDonald (1)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    4-3
    15:45

3rd period

  1. PHI
    R. Hagg(2)
    M. Raffl (2), D. Weise (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    4:08
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(1)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (2), J. Voracek (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    12:37
  3. OTT
    M. Lajoie(3)PPG
    C. Tierney (5), M. Boedker (3)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    6-4
    17:08
  4. PHI
    S. Laughton(3)EN
    J. Voracek (6), R. Gudas (4)
    wristxG 0.86
    7-4
    19:25

Penalties

PHI 24 PIM·OTT 24 PIM

1st

  • 1:04OTTMikkel Boedker · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 3:42PHIAndrew MacDonald · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:57PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 9:01OTTDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 14:09OTTChris Wideman · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 18:05PHIMichael Raffl · High stickingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min

2nd

  • 10:19OTTAlex Formenton · Roughingdrawn by Jori Lehtera2 min
  • 10:19PHIJori Lehtera · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 10:19PHIJori Lehtera · Roughingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 14:17PHIRobert Hagg · Roughingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 14:17OTTAlex Formenton · Roughingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 14:17OTTBobby Ryan · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 14:17PHIOskar Lindblom · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
  • 14:17PHIJori Lehtera · Roughingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 14:17OTTChris Tierney · Roughingdrawn by Jori Lehtera2 min
  • 14:17PHIRobert Hagg · Interferencedrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 15:04OTTRyan Dzingel · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Calvin Pickard2 min

3rd

  • 1:29OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 1:29OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 1:29PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:29OTTMark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Jori Lehtera2 min
  • 11:58OTTZack Smith · High stickingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 13:18PHIDale Weise · Interferencedrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 16:58PHIJori Lehtera · Interferencedrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 2nd 15:45 — PHI 49% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.22M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.21M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.20M. Lajoie · Goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.12C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.11M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lajoie · Goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.11C. White · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
4.56 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.54 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.62 G
Power play
3 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI50%50%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
45
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/7
Power play
3/7
24
Penalty minutes
24
26
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. CouturierC101+320.471105424:11
9I. ProvorovD000+210.03322—23:32
47A. MacDonaldD011+220.04142—20:04
28C. GirouxR112+270.500006720:03
53S. GostisbehereD022060.25010—19:34
93J. VoracekR235+360.41200—19:28
8R. HaggD101+120.21514—18:37
17W. SimmondsR000040.53430—17:36
3R. GudasD033+230.06120—17:17
21S. LaughtonC202+250.970026015:39
15J. LehteraC000000.001084114:20
6T. SanheimD000+120.10100—14:09
12M. RafflL011+100.42312—13:34
23O. LindblomL000-130.27102—13:22
24M. VorobyevC000000.000002512:07
22D. WeiseR022+210.0631210011:21
11T. KonecnyR000-110.13000—11:17
19N. PatrickC000000.00000003:30
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Pickard(W)35314.8863.20-0.8059:33

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).