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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 17:50 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.7, NSH 2.9; shots on goal were WPG 24, NSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 14 of 16 (.875). Three stars: 1. Paul Stastny (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Stastny2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG281927524
NSHNSH11006021137

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    T. Myers(3)
    N. Ehlers (6), P. Stastny (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:41
  2. WPG
    P. Stastny(5)
    B. Tanev (2), B. Chiarot (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:47
  3. NSH
    P. Subban(4)PPG
    R. Johansen (9), F. Forsberg (9)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    15:54

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(10)
    B. Wheeler (11), K. Connor (5)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:50

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(6)PPG
    P. Laine (7), D. Byfuglien (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    11:59
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(11)EN
    K. Connor (6), B. Wheeler (12)
    wristxG 0.91
    5-1
    17:27

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:08WPGAndrew Copp · High stickingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 14:53WPGKyle Connor · Cross checkingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

2nd

  • 19:00WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

3rd

  • 11:32NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 17:50 — WPG 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.19F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.18K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.16V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.11N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.09P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.09R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.03K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.74 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.73 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG29%71%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
24
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011010.00110—25:43
8J. TroubaD000+200.04110—20:31
44J. MorrisseyD000+210.01222—19:46
39T. EnstromD000010.03100—19:34
55M. ScheifeleC202+221.213305219:10
26B. WheelerR022+230.13020—18:39
57T. MyersD101+210.08000—18:20
7B. ChiarotD011+200.01200—15:51
81K. ConnorL022+210.01012—15:39
13B. TanevL011000.00020—14:58
17A. LowryC000010.112205314:54
29P. LaineL011+230.20010—13:53
18B. LittleC000010.152104013:35
9A. CoppC000010.082127513:20
40J. ArmiaR000030.10000—13:20
27N. EhlersL011+210.05010—12:39
85M. PerreaultC000000.04100012:36
25P. StastnyC213+240.430203312:31
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)37361.9732.93+1.9360:00

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).