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Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV USA, FS-N+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-2. The Jets scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 14:40 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 31, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 4.3 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG17112012231
MINMIN2134907629

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:50
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    9:47
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    17:50

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:32
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:42
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    14:40
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    15:00
  5. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    18:23

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:43MINMathew Dumba · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 3:35MINMatt Cullen · Slashingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 7:26WPGBen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 8:06WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 17:01WPGBen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 19:27MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 7:23MINZach Parise · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 10:24MINCharlie Coyle · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 14:40 — MIN 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.27N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.20M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.11M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.02M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
6 G2.0
1.01 G
Even strength
4 G0.9
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011-140.11510—26:01
8J. TroubaD000-140.11010—22:46
55M. ScheifeleC000-200.002003119:28
26B. WheelerR101-310.04000—19:26
44J. MorrisseyD000020.07110—18:29
29P. LaineL011-110.04000—17:42
25P. StastnyC000-110.070005717:40
81K. ConnorL000-220.16010—17:19
70J. MorrowD000-120.07000—15:24
7B. ChiarotD000-210.02304—15:18
27N. EhlersL000-120.28000—15:01
18B. LittleC000010.044004214:22
40J. ArmiaR000000.26200—13:59
9A. CoppC000000.00100013:54
17A. LowryC000040.102026713:36
13B. TanevL000020.02420—13:01
57T. MyersD101-130.05120—12:04
52J. RoslovicC000+110.02100010:00
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)22166.7271.69-4.3140:00
35S. Mason7701.0000.31+0.3120:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).