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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
FinalTV CNBC, FS-N·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Morrow's goal at 12:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 20, WPG 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry, 2. Devan Dubnyk (37 saves, .925), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk37 saves, .925
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0401224220
WPGWPG01318219340

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(1)PPG
    B. Wheeler (1), D. Byfuglien (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    17:37

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Cullen(1)
    J. Greenway (1), N. Prosser (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +24 pts
    1-1
    1:46
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(1)
    M. Granlund (1), M. Koivu (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:58
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(1)
    P. Stastny (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:51
  4. WPG
    J. Morrow(1)
    N. Ehlers (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:47

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:24MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 6:46WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 17:17MINNate Prosser · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Morrow, 3rd 12:47 — WPG 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.45A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.43N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.18J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.10B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.05B. Little · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrow · Goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.6 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
1.42 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN27%73%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
20
Shots on goal
40
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
39
22
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000+110.05500—30:03
25J. BrodinD000000.00030—26:24
12E. StaalC000010.044126020:45
46J. SpurgeonD000-100.02210—20:19
64M. GranlundC011020.061106718:39
9M. KoivuC011020.321204318:33
11Z. PariseL101010.08000—18:23
16J. ZuckerL000020.06000—17:34
22N. NiederreiterR000010.187006716:42
60C. SoucyD000-100.02120—15:04
3C. CoyleC000020.180005014:25
36N. SeelerD000+110.03140—14:04
39N. ProsserD011000.00152—13:57
18J. GreenwayL011+100.00200—11:54
7M. CullenC101020.150102511:31
26D. WinnikL000-110.111203311:08
14J. Eriksson EkC000040.09200010:38
17M. FolignoL000000.05300—09:58
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)40373.9252.65-0.3557:39

Series

WPG leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).