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Islanders at Red Wings
NHL

New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
3
Final/OTTV FS-D, MSG+ 2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, John Tavares scoring at 3:16. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 3:16 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were NYI 40, DET 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jared Coreau stopped 36 of 40 (.900). Three stars: 1. John Tavares (1 G), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Justin Abdelkader (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Tavares1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Abdelkader1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0911621015440
DETDET1121711604339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    H. Zetterberg(11)
    G. Nyquist (19)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:13

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Ladd(12)
    C. Clutterbuck (10), T. Hickey (20)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:51
  2. DET
    J. Abdelkader(13)PPG
    H. Zetterberg (45), N. Kronwall (23)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:58

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(16)
    A. Mantha (24), X. Ouellet (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:10
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(40)
    M. Barzal (62), A. Pelech (16)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:25
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(10)PPG
    M. Barzal (63), J. Bailey (53)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    19:30

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Tavares(37)
    R. Pulock (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:16

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 11:24NYIJordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 13:32DETJustin Abdelkader · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

3rd

  • 18:24DETAnthony Mantha · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYI goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, OT 3:16 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.25T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.25A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.23A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.22G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.19A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.15J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.12A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.07D. Booth · Missed · xG 0.06H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.06H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.06D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.06H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.04L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.04D. Booth · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02H. Zetterberg · Goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01D. Booth · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDET
3.94 G
All situations
3 G3.6
3.33 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI54%46%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.79 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDET
40
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD112+230.37100—26:51
50A. PelechD011+140.04220—21:26
12J. BaileyR011-220.26000—20:20
91J. TavaresC101-150.280005519:45
29B. NelsonC000050.991204319:39
88B. DavidsonD000-220.07360—19:36
7J. EberleR000+120.37002—19:32
27A. LeeL101-150.38100—18:56
13M. BarzalC022+200.000005618:14
4D. SeidenbergD000-200.02010—18:02
42S. MayfieldD000+130.07220—17:32
14T. HickeyD011+110.08130—16:50
72A. BeauvillierR000030.362106713:10
11S. PrinceL000010.02000—12:43
15C. ClutterbuckR011+110.04000—12:38
21C. WagnerR000+120.430105712:33
16A. LaddL101+110.07010—11:57
56T. FritzC000000.00000010:52
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)39363.9233.57+0.5761:54

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).