Skip to content
Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸6
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Daley's goal at 10:03 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 22, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.9 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Zetterberg (3 A), 2. John Tavares (2 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (34 saves, .919).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    H. Zetterberg3 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Tavares2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    P. Mrazek34 saves, .919

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET2614312622
NYINYI1922305337

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(21)
    J. Tavares (22), J. Bailey (32)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:32
  2. DET
    M. Frk(7)
    J. Ericsson (7), D. Larkin (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:33
  3. DET
    G. Nyquist(9)PPG
    H. Zetterberg (16), T. Tatar (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    16:49

2nd period

  1. NYI
    R. Pulock(2)PPG
    J. Eberle (11)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    2:03
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(10)PPG
    M. Barzal (22), J. Tavares (23)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    12:59
  3. DET
    A. Mantha(13)
    H. Zetterberg (17)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:15

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Daley(2)
    H. Zetterberg (18), D. Larkin (21)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +32 pts
    4-3
    10:03
  2. DET
    M. Green(3)
    D. Larkin (22), A. Athanasiou (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    5-3
    14:12
  3. DET
    L. Glendening(7)EN
    D. DeKeyser (1), F. Nielsen (5)
    wristxG 0.84
    6-3
    19:31

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:52NYIAdam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min
  • 19:17DETJustin Abdelkader · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

2nd

  • 1:30DETDylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 11:59DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Daley, 3rd 10:03 — DET 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.20A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.08R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.02D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
3.25 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.21 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET56%44%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52J. EricssonD011+420.10420—23:50
40H. ZetterbergC033+200.001005323:21
65D. DeKeyserD011+110.08000—23:18
83T. DaleyD101+210.10110—22:39
25M. GreenD101040.24100—22:21
14G. NyquistR101+140.44110—20:48
71D. LarkinC033+210.261245018:55
21T. TatarL011+120.33100—16:23
43D. HelmC000+100.0630010016:15
51F. NielsenC011+100.000005016:04
39A. ManthaR101+210.12000—15:55
41L. GlendeningC101030.984004515:46
72A. AthanasiouC011+110.200006714:13
55N. KronwallD000010.11220—13:23
8J. AbdelkaderL000000.073225012:49
3N. JensenD000000.02100—10:09
42M. FrkR101+110.12100—06:55
28L. WitkowskiD000+100.00000—03:23
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)37343.9192.09-0.9160:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).