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Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 7:31 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 35, PIT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT06013016035
PITPIT082926423

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(29)PPG
    P. Kessel (58), E. Malkin (56)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:25
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:31

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.35win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    6:55
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby (60), K. Letang (42)
    snapxG 0.16
    0-4
    16:53

Penalties

OTT 12 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 11:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 15:27OTTserved by B. Ryan · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:21PITPatric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Fredrik Claesson2 min
  • 18:37OTTRyan Dzingel · High sticking double minordrawn by Riley Sheahan4 min

2nd

  • 5:26OTTFilip Chlapik · Hookingdrawn by Josh Jooris2 min
  • 7:43OTTMike Hoffman · High stickingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 11:54PITCarl Hagelin · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
  • 18:57OTTAlexandre Burrows · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 7:31 — PIT 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.35C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.19S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.19P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.16T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT4 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
1.90 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT41%59%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD000-120.03420—27:57
72T. ChabotD000030.09110—25:51
74M. BorowieckiD000020.04620—20:22
44J. PageauC000000.000006518:44
33F. ClaessonD000-210.13100—18:11
95M. DucheneC000-120.150005616:41
15Z. SmithC000-110.032005015:46
18R. DzingelC000020.2700410015:41
9B. RyanR000030.22100—15:40
68M. HoffmanC000020.09112015:23
86C. WolaninD000-220.03000—15:13
14A. BurrowsR000-150.19202—14:11
10T. PyattL000-220.19200—13:26
56M. PaajarviL000-250.18000—13:06
78F. ChlapikC000-100.042025012:23
36C. WhiteC000010.06110011:30
89M. McCormickL000-120.15200—10:35
67B. HarpurD000-100.00210—08:32
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)23194.8262.38-1.6260:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).