Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 7:31 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 35, PIT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. DeSmith35 saves, 1.000

- ★★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Kessel1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-11:25
0-27:31
3rd period
0-36:55
0-416:53
Penalties
1st
- 11:43
Evgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
- 11:43
Evgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
- 15:27
served by B. Ryan · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 17:21
Patric Hornqvist · Slashingdrawn by Fredrik Claesson2 min
- 18:37
Ryan Dzingel · High sticking double minordrawn by Riley Sheahan4 min
2nd
- 5:26
Filip Chlapik · Hookingdrawn by Josh Jooris2 min
- 7:43
Mike Hoffman · High stickingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
- 11:54
Carl Hagelin · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
- 18:57
Alexandre Burrows · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 7:31 — 71% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.4
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.33
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 26
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 5
- Giveaways
- 8
- 5
- Takeaways
- 17
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
